One of the most common mistakes made by new traders is that they believe in noise. Most of the new traders traped because of noise. Noise does not lead to profit; instead, it leads to a state of confusion and frustration. Signals are what a new trader should be looking for. That’s why the new traders should focus on signals and avoid the noise.
They tell you when to buy and when to sell for money. It doesn’t matter what noise tells you, as long as it doesn’t help you make money in the markets. At the same time, we need to keep an eye out for what is important when we are watching TV or on social media.
When we have “too much information,” our first instinct is to pick out the parts we like and ignore the rest, making allies with people who have chosen the same things and enemies with those who haven’t. Nathan Silver said this:
This is noise:
TV shows with talking heads. None of the above choices could be true. They could be promoting their portfolio holdings and talking down their shorts, or they could not have any picks at all Who knows?
Predictions made by anyone are not signals to trade. A prediction that is a long time away has a lot less chance of coming true. People can’t predict the future because the world is so complicated and there are so many moving parts and people.
Not all news events are signs. Geopolitical risks rise if the same stories are on the news every day and there aren’t any major changes in the situation. If that news has already been taken into account. A lot of fear-mongering from the media is just noise.
There are more chances for prices to go up or down when the time frame is short. The more you zoom out in time, the more patterns and trends can be seen and found. If you spend all day in front of your computer, most of what you see is noise. You have to wait until the signal comes through all that noise.
The results of short-term trading aren’t always sure. It looks like someone who has a long bias is a good trader who can make money. They show how good they are at system development, discipline, and risk management by how well they do in the long run. They are surprised when they lose all of their gains from the bull market in the next bear market. Many new traders start out with good luck and seem to be making money. It was just noise in the long run because the market changed.
A signal is something that tells you something is going on.
New highs or new lows in your time frame that break out of a trading range and stay there.
If you see an oversold bounce-offoff support or an overbought reversal against resistance in your timespan that is positive enough to convince you that it is a good setupup for a swing trade, you should take it.
Bad news can get people excited about stocks, but good news can make them sell off. This can be a sign that the market’s current trend might be coming to an end soon.
Many times, a gap in the direction of the current trend is a sign that the trend will keep going in that direction for a long time.
The real goal of system back testing and studying historical price patterns is to find the rules that the market has used in the past, so that you can use them to make money. There are three main things that lead to trends and range bound markets: the principles of fear, greed, and ego, along with supply and demand, are behind them. The profitable traders are able to look for and find the signals that give them an advantage over other traders who trade based on their own emotions and don’t pay attention to the signals.
It’s just as important to be able to filter out the noise of what doesn’t matter as it is to look for the signals. Most traders and investors get lost in a sea of noise and can’t find their way. Find the strong signals and put them into a trading plan, and then your trading account will start making money.
Focus On Signals and Avoid The Noise. Good Luck Trader.